Will the Black Wildebeest, a.k.a. White-tailed Gnu (Connochaetes gnou) become extinct in the current century?
3
14
160
2099
35%
chance

The Black Wildebeest is one of two wildebeest species. It is a herbivore native to Southern Africa. This market will resolve YES if the Black Wildebeest is declared extinct by the IUCN by 2100 or earlier, and NO if it is not declared extinct by the IUCN in 2100.

Wikipedia

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Black_wildebeest

IUCN Red List of Threatened Species Assessment: Least Concern

https://www.iucnredlist.org/species/5228/50184962

Please help trading this market and posting news about the species in the comments, in order to get the most accurate assessment of its extinction risk.

For comparisons with other species, you can find here more markets about species extinction risks:

https://manifold.markets/ExtinctionRisk?tab=questions

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