Which Manifold user is X / Twitter mutuals with the most-followed user?
14
945Ṁ4232
resolved Jan 12
0.1%
Nate Silver
0.1%
Dylan Matthews : https://x.com/dylanmatt
1.3%Other

Mutuals: both the Manifold user and the other account follow each other. We're looking for the highest follower count on the non-manifold-user account. Put the Manifold user account in the answer, reply in comments with the X / Twitter account that they're mutuals with. The Twitter account should be a regular user, not a brand account.

The Manifold user must be active, defined as betting, commenting, and/or creating, resolving, or updating a question, while this market is open.

If it's not clear I might ask for evidence that the Manifold and Twitter account are in fact the same person.

Follower counts and mutuals as of market close time or whenever after close time I check; I'll try to resolve promptly.

By default I'm going to assume that follower counts are basically accurate as displayed and that everyone has about the same portion of fake bot followers. Manipulated follower counts don't count, especially if they were manipulated in an attempt to resolve this question; post evidence if you want to disqualify some account. (That would violate X's ToS and therefore also Manifold's, AIUI.)

Trying to acquire new mutuals is an entirely acceptable way to manipulate this market.

Hopefully this ends up pretty objective and easy to judge, but regardless I will not bet in this market.

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