How many people will have walked on Mars, when there are 100 people on it?

Question

Unique people, when there are 100 simultaneously on the surface.

Are we tourists, or going there to stay early in the process?

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, 200, followed by 300 and 500 are most likely. See the market for live updates (2 traders, as of Jul 13, 2026).

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