Close states: How many of 13 vote Dem in the 2024 Pres. Election? (AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI)
26
1.3kṀ6916
resolved Nov 11
Resolved
YES
At least 1
Resolved
YES
At least 2
Resolved
NO
At least 13
Resolved
NO
At least 12
Resolved
NO
At least 11
Resolved
NO
At least 10
Resolved
YES
At least 3
Resolved
NO
At least 5
Resolved
NO
At least 6
Resolved
NO
At least 7
Resolved
NO
At least 8
Resolved
NO
At least 9
Resolved
NO
At least 4

This list includes the tipping point state +/- 2 from the 2008-2020 elections, all states within 5% margin from 2020, and all states within 1% margin from 2012-2020.

This will resolve exactly based on the resolution of /Gabrielle/which-states-will-be-won-by-the-dem-540e6b923486

If resolution of some of those markets is delayed, the sub-questions here will resolve as they are able to.

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Related market on the same set of states:
/EvanDaniel/close-states-how-many-of-13-will-fl

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