Close states: How many of 13 vote Dem in the 2024 Pres. Election? (AZ, CO, FL, GA, IA, MI, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI)
Standard
23
Ṁ2797
Nov 6
98%
At least 1
95%
At least 2
92%
At least 3
89%
At least 4
80%
At least 5
67%
At least 6
61%
At least 7
48%
At least 8
8%
At least 9
10%
At least 10
9%
At least 11
7%
At least 12
2%
At least 13

This list includes the tipping point state +/- 2 from the 2008-2020 elections, all states within 5% margin from 2020, and all states within 1% margin from 2012-2020.

This will resolve exactly based on the resolution of /Gabrielle/which-states-will-be-won-by-the-dem-540e6b923486

If resolution of some of those markets is delayed, the sub-questions here will resolve as they are able to.

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Related market on the same set of states:
/EvanDaniel/close-states-how-many-of-13-will-fl