Looks like this is about the investments described on https://aigrant.com/, not the affiliated .org. Batch one lists 26 companies. Resolves to 25-30.

@EvanDaniel I looked at this yesterday, I don’t think your assumption is correct

@oh How are you interpreting it? What should it resolve to and why?

@traders Any insight into this ancient and apparently abandoned market?

@EvanConrad @traders Can this resolve? To what?

@EvanDaniel Creator is inactive

Featuring this market to boost the visibility of aigrant.org within the Manifold audience, and also because this kind of market (predictions over things that matter for funding and starting new orgs) is the kind I'd like to see more of on Manifold!

Hm, since this is a free response market, what kind of answers were you looking for? I could imagine:

• Buckets (e.g. 0-4, 5-10, 11-15)...

• Individual numbers (0, 1, 2, 3...)

• Specific investment applications (eg a separate company for each entry, with a link to its application)

I might recommend seeding some free response answers yourself!

@Austin Whoops, yes!

@EvanConrad Could I request bucket questions?

@EvanConrad Yeah, we keep going back and forth on the best way to set up prediction markets over numbers. Buckets (like this) are one approach that let you see the distribution; but another approach is to have a stock-like number that you can invest in going up or down.

Curious, any thoughts on whether this question would work better if you just specified a range, and people could bid it up or down (the way YES/NO markets work), or this current bucket system feels good, and we should productionize it more?

There's also another version which is "bet whether the amount will exceed some threshold", aka a group of YES/NO markets for >10, >20, >40...