Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Will this market close between 60% - 70%
8
Ṁ100Ṁ177
May 21
61%
chance
17

This market resolves to "YES" if the market closes between 60% - 70%

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to "YES" if its own final closing probability is greater than or equal to 60% and less than or equal to 70% at the time it closes. Otherwise, it resolves to "NO". The closing probability is determined by the final trading price of the market immediately prior to closure.

Information

This is a meta-market for fun and giggles

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:

I am so tempted to ping the user Bayesian.

bought Ṁ10 YES

@Quroe There was once a time when whales like Bayesian would have to live in fear, even with the biggest stack, as there were many group chats coordinating bait on markets like this. Someone needs to bring that back, whale bait markets would be disseminated quickly behind the scenes and alliances would form

@Gen I know that he liked the "Will this market hit X%" series a lot. This is very different, though.