Will TikTok be banned in the United States for the majority of the population by the end of 2025?
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This question is about the legislation impacting consumers before the end of 2025 (for the majority of Americans).
If TikTok is banned for the majority of Americans before the end of 2025 and some people were still accessing TikTok illegally in the US after the ban came into place then the market would resolve YES
If a bill is signed into law but is not yet impacting consumers (i.e. because it is held up in court) that would not count towards a YES because the ban would not yet be impacting consumers
If TikTok is banned in a way that impacted the majority of Americans before the end of 2025, for at least 7 consecutive days, then the market would resolve as a YES (even if TikTok was later re-instated)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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