Will the next >=1% single day change in the S&P 500 be an increase?
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Ṁ1.2KṀ260
resolved Apr 28
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
increase = YES
decrease = NO
How we define a "single day change":
If on a Tuesday the market closes at 1000, then on Wednesday it ends it is 1100, that's a 10% change. We don't count within-day changes. And we count close-cose (subsequent closes) rarher than (open-close).
Changes within a single day which aren't the closing price are irrelevant.
We take (end of prior day) => (end of day in question) as the change, so that we treat "overnight changes" as being part of the subsequent day.
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