Will the LK-99 room temp, superconductivity pre-print replicate in August | Manifold

Will the LK-99 room temp, superconductivity pre-print replicate in August

Standard

139

Ṁ120k

resolved Sep 2

Resolved

NO

1D

1W

1M

ALL

August 2023 or earlier

Shorter term version of

Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print replicate before 2025?17%‌

and will resolve similarly unless there are gross irregularities

Preprint here:

https://arxiv.org/abs/2307.12008

Companion paper here with description of synthesis:

https://arxiv.org/abs/2307.12037

Make money fast if it replicates it will replicate soon

Superconductor Pb$_{10-x}$Cu$_x$(PO$_4$)$_{6O}$ showing levitation at room temperature and atmospheric pressure and mechanism

A material called LK-99, a modified-lead apatite crystal structure with the composition Pb$_{10-x}$Cu$_x$(PO$_4$)$_{6O}$ ($0.9<x<1.1$), has been synthesized using the solid-state method. The material exhibits the Ohmic metal characteristic of Pb(6s1) above its superconducting critical temperature, $…

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#️ Technology

#superconductivity

Get

1,000

and

1.00

Sort by:

predicted NO

Looks like no after August is over

My bets all in boys

predicted NO

What if it replicates in July?

predicted YES

@Odoacre in description:

"August 2023 or earlier"

Physics X-HYPE https://twitter.com/alexkaplan0/status/1684044616528453633

Related questions

Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print replicate before 2025?

Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print replicate before 2026?

Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print ever get replicated?

Will a room-temperature superconductor with a similar-but-different composition to LK-99 be discovered by 2025?

Is there a temperature and pressure at which LK-99 is superconducting?

[100x Fine] Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print replicate before 2025?

Conditional on any room-temp superconductor being replicated before 2025, will the main LK-99 market resolve YES?

Will any peer-reviewed replication attempt before 2025 confirm the discovery of room temp superconductivity in LK-99?

Will the room-temperature superconductor results of Lee et. al be reproduced by the end of 2024?

Will LK-99's manufacturing process inspire a new room temperature superconducting material by 2025?

Related questions

Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print replicate before 2025?

[100x Fine] Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print replicate before 2025?

Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print replicate before 2026?

Conditional on any room-temp superconductor being replicated before 2025, will the main LK-99 market resolve YES?

Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print ever get replicated?

Will any peer-reviewed replication attempt before 2025 confirm the discovery of room temp superconductivity in LK-99?

Will a room-temperature superconductor with a similar-but-different composition to LK-99 be discovered by 2025?

Will the room-temperature superconductor results of Lee et. al be reproduced by the end of 2024?

Is there a temperature and pressure at which LK-99 is superconducting?

Will LK-99's manufacturing process inspire a new room temperature superconducting material by 2025?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules