Will Tesla deliver more than 5000 Cybertrucks in Q1 2024?
21
254
390
Jun 1
7%
chance

Market will remain open until we know clearly how many were delivered.

Get Ṁ200 play money
Sort by:

__________ Production __ Deliveries

Model 3/Y __ 412,376 __ 369,783

Other Models 20,995 ____ 17,027
Total_________433,371____386,810

 https://ir.tesla.com/tesla-vehicle-production-deliveries-and-date-financial-results-webcast-first-quarter-2024

Troy Teslike production figures suggest
S/X 16400
Cybertruck 4445
Which adds to 20885 so this seems very close to 20995.

For deliveries
S/X 15019
Cybertruck 4035
This adds to 19054 which isn't as close to the 17027 but even so the error tends to suggest fewer delivered than produced.

Close to 4445 plus 270 produced in 2023 (less 12? delivered in 2023), it looks like they haven't produced 5000 and certainly not delivered them if you take a reasonably sensible view that accuracy on Cybertruck isn't likely to be much different than S/X accuracy even if not necessarily in same direction.

To be badly low on Cybertruck production and also too high on S/X is not completely ruled out but it does seem pretty unlikely on these figures and their normally high level of accuracy. They cannot have delivered cybertrucks they haven't produced.

This is going to be hard to calculate because it will likely be lumped in with X/S