Will manifold implement a "continuous" market?
17
145
แน519แน350
Jul 18
16%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Imagine a market "Aliens will be found in the next year" where when you buy shares they dynamically adjust due date.
So it would be a permanent market but shares would expire individually. One problem is that shares wouldn't be easily tradeable.
I think for many markets this may seem more natural than how we currently pick a random date in the future and then bet yes/no on that.
Other examples: I'd like to make markets about my city like "will X store go out of business in the next month". In the current system there's no way to make that into a long term market. But with continuous markets it could go on for years with everyone on the same market page.
Get แน200 play money
More related questions
Related questions
Will Manifold introduce an AI-based feature that automatically resolves markets by 2030?
85% chance
Will manifold markets still have active users in 2025?
97% chance
Will Manifold Markets still exist in 2040?
82% chance
Will Manifold Markets still be active in 2030?
83% chance
Will Manifold Markets exist in 2025?
97% chance
Will Manifold stop advertising markets to users who have already traded on the market in the last 24 hours, by 2025?
92% chance
Will Manifold Markets still be around by 2030?
94% chance
Will manifold introduce any incentives for betting on long term markets this year?
73% chance
Will the Manifold Partner program be changed to incentivize high quality markets?
53% chance
Will manifold introduce a mechanism for retroactive market closure in 2024?
43% chance