Will any of the original 7 LK-99 researchers present at an international conference by end 2025 [Harsher criteria]
10
228
Ṁ6.8kṀ170
resolved Mar 4
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
Any of the 7 people listed here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/LK-99
It must be about physics. It cannot be an apology or examination of past failures; they must be presenting their own new research positively, and have been selected due to the merit of the research, not as an example of failure or other similar fallout from LK-99's failure. Obviously, if LK-99 turns out to be true, then speaking out about it will be frequent and common, and this will YES easily.
The conference must be attended by at least 100 researchers in the field of physics, and must be about physics. It should be a "mainstream" conference. Hard to define, but basically, one which say at least 20% of active physics professors do not dismiss as pseudoscience.
Get Ṁ600 play money
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ240 | |
2 | Ṁ168 | |
3 | Ṁ63 | |
4 | Ṁ63 | |
5 | Ṁ53 |
Related questions
Will any of the original 7 LK-99 researchers excluding w&m prof speak at int'l conf (not APL) by end 2030?
50% chance
Will we have an AI generated research paper accepted to > 1 top ML conference by 2026?
48% chance
Conditional on LK-99 replicating, will a RTSC be used commercially by 2026?
57% chance
Will a Large Language Model be listed as an author on a peer-reviewed paper by the end of 2025?
48% chance
Will we have an AI generated research paper accepted to > 1 top ML conference by 2027?
62% chance
Will we have an AI generated research paper accepted to > 1 top ML conference by 2025?
18% chance
Will we have an AI generated research paper accepted to > 1 top ML conference by 2028?
71% chance
Arxiv will have at least 10 papers mentioning LK-99 or LK99 published in 2024
77% chance
Will there be a research paper that uses Manifold data and has 100 Google Scholar citations by the end of 2025?
73% chance
Will a new species, previously unknown to science, be discovered in Lake Vostok by the end of 2025?
64% chance