Will a professional lab announce confirmation of LK-99 Superconductivity Sunday, Monday, or Tuesday?
25
381
490
resolved Aug 7
Resolved
NO

It should be a lab with at least one professor in it. They can announce in any way, twitter, arxiv, etc, and it only requires a positive announcement, even if it's immediately withdrawn.

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resolving no soon unless there is anything I should investigate first, post here.

Seems like a no, any more data coming in?

predicted YES

How do I set up the bounding order if I want to buy under 10%

@AmandaSmith click the "%" and fill in your lower / upper bids (both optional) and then enter the amount of mana you want to automatically spend if the price reaches that amount.

For example you could set a "buy at 10% " order by putting 10 in the lower bound, leaving upper empty, and putting in your mana amount below, then submitting.

bought Ṁ10 of NO

I will put up to 500 mana into keeping this at 10%

predicted YES

@willMay its a positive arxiv announcememt from a lab with at least one professor

@willMay that's just theory. they don't claim to have a sample that actually does it so it doesn't qualify. "announce confirmation of LK-99 Superconductivity" means they say "we have it and it superconducts"

sold Ṁ16 of YES

@StrayClimb well whoops maybe I shoukd asked that before my bet

bought Ṁ50 of NO

As in, this Sunday/Monday/Tuesday?

predicted NO

And "confirmation" meaning of superconductivity?

@Joshua yes through August 1st's midnight PST

@Joshua confirmation = have the sample and ran it through real tests and validated. not just theory.

predicted NO

Of course