The original physical US Constitution is stolen or destroyed or lost through 2031
Basic
8
Ṁ4802032
7%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Current location: National Archives in Washington DC USA https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Constitution_of_the_United_States
If it is are damaged or attacked for example in a political action, if is is fully repairable then it doesn't count as being destroyed. i.e. surface damage, clean, ok => doesn't qualify. but cracking or removing part of the parchment or text itself, which can't be fixed => counts as destroyed.
If the situation is uncertain, I may delay resolution until there is clarity. If there is no clarity after 6 months, then I may resolve the claim as YES it is lost.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Some sort of political protester manages to deface the US constitution by mid 2037
34% chance
Will the United States experience a constitutional crisis before 2030?
57% chance
Any of the Iranian National Jewels is stolen or destroyed or lost through 2031
37% chance
Will the US Government repeal the US Constitution before 2100?
26% chance
Constitutional amendment by 2050?
41% chance
Which existing amendment to the Constitution of the United States will be repealed by EOY 2044 ?
Any of the UK Crown Jewels is stolen or destroyed or lost through 2031
17% chance
Will there be a US Constitutional Convention before 2100?
38% chance
Will the United States of America hold a Constitutional Convention by 2050?
30% chance
The US political system will break down as badly as Jan 6 again before 2040
64% chance