
The Elam ending will used in an Olympics basketball game before 2040
The Elam ending will used in an Olympics basketball game before 2040
5
110Ṁ512040
37%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If something similar is used, but by a different name, it still counts.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Elam_Ending
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
People are also trading
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
The Elam ending will used in a regular season or playoffs NBA game before 2030
40% chance
The Elam ending will used in a regular season or playoffs Euro League game before 2030
65% chance
Equity sport in Olympics by mid 2045
21% chance
Will a video game be played in the Olympics as an official event by the end of 2040?
47% chance
Will a video game be played in the Olympics as an official event by the end of 2050?
79% chance
Will a video game be played in the Olympics as an official event by the end of 2030?
7% chance
Will NCAA Basketball switch to using Quarters like the NBA does by the end of 2034?
49% chance
Pickleball gold medals had been awarded at Olympics before 2045
27% chance
What will happen in the 2026 winter olympics
Will there be a robot basketball league before 2070
80% chance