San Mateo science fiction short story reading group predictions
Basic
3
á¹€170
Jan 1
64%
Will we have a meeting in a cafe or other commercial spot by mid year?
64%
Will we meet in the library at least once?
60%
Will someone discovering us via flyer show up at a meeting by mid year?
60%
Will at least one person show up in person via this market or Manifold, by mid year?
60%
Will we have 10+ people this year at a meeting?
50%
Will I ever meet someone in person from the OTHER San Mateo sf and fantasy writing group?
50%
By 2030 will anyone who ever was a regular member at least two times publish a novel? Self publishing okay
50%
By 2030 will anyone who ever was a regular member at least two times win a fiction or sci-fi award?
50%
Will at least 1 member besides me join manifest 2024? There are some leads
50%
Will we have 11+ at a meeting by mid 2025?
50%
Will we have a new author special guest by EOY 2024? (We already had Richard Ngo once!)
50%
Will at least 3 people read Neuromancer (in addition to me) by EOY 2024 as we plan?
50%
Will any past/future/present members excluding me be published online in a "real" magazine (not completely self-published) such as lightspeed? by mid 2026
50%
Will Richard Ngo win a major scifi award (Hugo, Nebula, Philip K Dick, or other with prize 20k or more by mid 2031
40%
Will at least two semipermanent members be found via flyers by mid year?
40%
Will someone else submit a flyer design which is better than my primitive one?
40%
Will we have 20+ this year?
36%
Will two people who met at scifi date for at least a month this year?
Resolved
YES
Will I hear from the library by Jan 16 via email or other, or flyer is up?
Resolved
YES
Well at least five people wrote and submit stories for the March event?

Midyear is June 30 2024

Show up means come to a meeting having read the stories and joining in a normal way

Semipermanent means someone who comes at least 3 times in a row

We are looking for a place besides my house to meet. It should be open til 830 or 9 or later, and have enough room, be warm, and not mind us hanging around. Cafe is usually best although bookshops or others work. We'd love to move and meet in a more public place if we could.

Markets

  • End date should be clear; this whole market will not end but individual ones can

  • You can submit your own but make them resolvable if you can

  • Also submit stories like whether people will like them?

  • Hmm maybe we can have markets based on average ratings of stories in the group? Hmmmmm that could be fun

  • Unless otherwise specified, the term of a bet is til EOY 2024 but I will be adding longer term ones too

Our website: sfsfss.com

The flyer 1:

Ads put up in San Mateo on Jan 9 2024. Philz, and on the street.

Finally: the group is also known as "sfsfss" or sfsfss.com

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Updates: we had 8 at the last meeting. Of them, four are new in the last 2 months and one in the last half year, with the remaining three long timers. We're getting a lot of new people lately!

I'm gradually transitioning back to meeting every week instead of every other

We've got a writing event coming up in March, and are reading the novel Crystal Society in the background, too

Flyer went up at the library and someone joined discord because of it!

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