San Mateo Restaurant Death Market - which 5 of these die first? 100% = die
San Mateo Restaurant Death Market - which 5 of these die first? 100% = die
15
1.6kṀ3183
2029
47%
3 Bees Coffee
36%
Pokeatery
36%
Curry Up Now
36%
B Street Books
34%
Daeho kalbijjim
34%
McGovern's
29%
Philz Coffee
29%
Saigon City
29%
Takahashi Market
29%
Sushi Yoshimizu
28%
New York Pizza
28%
Izakaya Mai
27%
Mortar & Pestle Bar
25%
Pacific Catch
25%
O'Neills Irish Pub
23%
Tomatina
23%
Gyu-Kaku
17%
Himawari
16%
Pausa
11%
Pancho Villa

Bet UP if you think it will die. 100% means it definitely will die first, 0% means you think it is safe.

Whenever a place goes out of business I will set the price to 100%; this happens as soon as it's out of business and the doors are permanently closed.

I will do this for each of the first 5 places to die.

Once 5 have died, the remainders resolve to 0%.

"Die" means the place has moved significantly (not easy walking distance), is out of business, is closed & boarded up, or has changed name and style significantly.

No end date, will keep open til at least 5 are dead.

I will update status as time goes by.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

What is this?

What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
ṀWhy use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy