Restructuring at OpenAI so it's fully commercial by mid 2024
14
107
Ṁ825Ṁ210
Jul 1
15%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Somewhat hard to measure; basically if OpenAI is restructured so it's more like a normal company without a nonprofit board able to block things then YES.
If there is restructuring but doubt on how serious it is, we'll judge base on the goal of this market being to find out if the original non-profit, basically charity-like structure is legally eliminated.
For simplicity, I'm actually requiring a structure change here. Something like "six pet board members permanently installed who will do whatever Sam or Satya says" does not count.
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Will OpenAI + an AI alignment organization announce a major breakthrough in AI alignment? (2024)
32% chance
Will OpenAI fund/start/buy an AI Chip company (semiconductors) in 2024?
58% chance
Will OpenAI Announce AI Robots in 2024?
29% chance
Will OpenAI's undergo significant restructuring by 2025?
50% chance
Will general consensus be that OpenAI is no longer the lead AI company by end of 2024?
34% chance
When will OpenAI Announce AI Robots?
Will OpenAI exist as an independent entity by 2025?
72% chance
Will OpenAI IPO by 2030?
31% chance
Will OpenAI announce a major breakthrough in AI alignment in 2024?
42% chance
OpenAI goes public or announces plans to by end 2024
38% chance