Restructuring at OpenAI so it's fully commercial by mid 2024
14
107
1k
Jul 1
15%
chance

Somewhat hard to measure; basically if OpenAI is restructured so it's more like a normal company without a nonprofit board able to block things then YES.

If there is restructuring but doubt on how serious it is, we'll judge base on the goal of this market being to find out if the original non-profit, basically charity-like structure is legally eliminated.

For simplicity, I'm actually requiring a structure change here. Something like "six pet board members permanently installed who will do whatever Sam or Satya says" does not count.

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