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MANIFOLD
OpenAI images have a useful and hard to remove watermark, by mid 2026
21
Ṁ1kṀ2.4k
Jun 30
53%
chance
  1. Some or all images on openAI will be invisibly watermarked. It should be from the state of the art image producing system not video

  2. It will not be trivial to remove (by resizing/changing format), even if I can download the image in png or jpg or whatever.

  3. This situation continues for at least 3 months.

The market can resolve YES early if we get 3 months with an unbreakable watermark.

  • Update 2026-06-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If OpenAI implements a watermark before the market close deadline and it remains non-removable, it will count toward YES resolution — even if the full 3-month period extends beyond the market close date.

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@Ernie What if OpenAI starts doing such a watermark before market close, but they do not have it for three months before market close (but if we wait longer they would retain it)

@Fynn if they get it, we'll deal with that. Are there defenders of the feasibility of unremovable watermark feasibility right now?

@Fynn seems like it'll count if released before deadline and isn't removable