New president joins a picket line in 2025
4
46
130
2026
20%
chance

Whoever is inaugurated in Jan 2025 will join a picket line in the rest of the year.

Events prior to the inaguration are not relevant. It's only about if whoever is inagurated then joins a picket line the rest of that year.

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@Ernie If Biden is reelected, does this market

  • Resolve YES, because he already has joined a picket line

  • Resolve NO, because he’s not a new president

  • Resolve YES/NO depending on if he joins a picket line in the new term

  • Resolve N/A, because he’s not a new president

  • Something else?

@Gabrielle only applies to actions taking place after the new president takes office

So it's about whoever is inagurated in Jan 2025, whether that person joins a picketline before the end of 2025.