I will see a Tesla cybertruck in San Mateo area by end of September
I will see a Tesla cybertruck in San Mateo area by end of September
2
90Ṁ35resolved Aug 28
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
I drive about twenty miles a day around San Mateo, Foster City, and someone up to San Francisco, California. I'm going to keep doing that. I will probably also drive to and from Salt Lake City and be there for a week or two before returning to go to the manifold conference in late September which I'll also drive to.
If I see a cybertruck on the road driving this is yes. Otherwise no. I'll try to take a picture.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
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