Any current or past member of the CCP's Politburo flees China through 2027
5
110Ṁ982028
60%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
They have to be reported to have either left China or be in an embassy or other way extraterritorial area, or actively be in flight.
If they attempt to set up an alternative government or similar within China, that counts as long as the former core is pursuing them.
There are 24 active members and more, olde, former members.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Politburo_of_the_Chinese_Communist_Party?wprov=sfla1
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Xi Jinping be in Taiwan anytime through 2027?
13% chance
Will any member of the Politburo Standing Committee of the CCP be removed from their position before Autumn 2027?
58% chance
Will any member of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party be removed from their position before Autumn 2027?
98% chance
Will Putin flee to the PRC before the end of 2030?
12% chance
Any current or past member of the CCP's Politburo Standing Committee (PSC) dies in a plane crash
32% chance
Will Xi Jinping voluntarily leave any of his offices before 2027?
34% chance
Will Xi Jinping defect to the US or EU by end 2029
5% chance
Will Xi Jinping voluntarily leave any of his offices before 2029?
34% chance
Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before the end of 2027?
29% chance
Will Xi Jinping leave China from 2026 to 2028?
77% chance