A Musk company brings back at least a metric ton of non-Earth material

Question

To Earth by 2034

Not from the moon, must be from another non earth body, asteroid, comet, etc taken from outside the atmosphere of earth

It can be a musk company or another private effort run by Elon

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 60% chance (13 traders, as of Sep 3, 2025).

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