Will grok AI be available for general use in November 2023?
resolved Dec 1

Will an average person living in the US be able to access grok AI by x.ai in November of 2023?

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predicted YES

Update: I purchased Premium+. I’m not seeing Grok.

@ErikWilliams Did you contact customer support?

predicted NO

normal people don't contact customer support
(/s a bit)

predicted NO

@GordanKnott It will be only available to X Premium+ Subscribers only. So does that qualify as the average person living in the US. I think I am an average person, but will not be paying for Premium+ membership

predicted YES

@Orca But will the average person be able to access it if they choose? We’ll see!

bought Ṁ500 of NO

@ErikWilliams I'm an average person on nov 30 at 11:43 pm and I cannot access it if I choose to, because I wasn't a premium+ user of X for many months

bought Ṁ130 of NO

@ErikWilliams What is definition of average person? Lots of people claim to be an average person.

predicted YES

@TheBayesian Did you need to be a premium user for many months? I would say that is not average

predicted NO

@ErikWilliams That sure as heck isn't average! and yeah as far as I know even people like that haven't had access to it yet, but it's been said those (non-normal people) would get access first... so this is free mana (afaict)

bought Ṁ1,000 of NO

@ErikWilliams btw is there a reason you keep the market open til december 2? like wouldn't it make more sense for it to close first thing on december 1st? up to you tho

bought Ṁ250 of NO

Even the biggest fans of Elon have to admit that the man never holds a promise haha especially when it comes to timing

bought Ṁ55 of YES

predicted YES


What does average person mean? Do you mean if you signed up for a new account in November and got access by the end of the month? I assume less than half the people in the US had an account already.

predicted YES

@Eliza Good point. I assumed I was an average person and so if I get access then I will resolve to yes.

@ErikWilliams That sounds like a very solid plan. Have you attempted to sign up yet?

@ErikWilliams If all premium+ users in the US get access, does it resolve YES? Or do non-paying users have to get access too?

predicted YES

@Simon74fe Sure. As long as I can get it. I will pay for blue on X on Nov 1st then see if I have access.

predicted YES

@Eliza I am an X (non paying) user currently. How can you sign up for this?

@ErikWilliams I have no idea, I'm not a user. It looks like it is only going to "Premium+", which sounds like a cable package to me.

predicted YES

@Belmiro Thank you. I plan on signing up on Nov 30 to test if there is access.

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