Will either Trump or Biden require assistance to use the bathroom (2028)?
Basic
8
Ṁ1382029
29%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Fairly straightforward. Has to be required on an ongoing basis, not just during a brief hospitalization. Reputable sources yada yada. My yardstick for when someone is perhaps a little too far gone to be president.
Will keep it open a few months into 2029 to give that sweet post-presidency inside dig time to come out, but will resolve No if nothing is out yet. Has to have happened on or before December 31, 2028.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will the United States elect a new president in 2024 (Biden or Trump)?
37% chance
Will Donald Trump or Joe Biden die before Jan 2028?
48% chance
Will both Donald Trump and Joe Biden be alive on January 20, 2029?
47% chance
Will both Donald Trump and Joe Biden be alive on January 1st 2029?
34% chance
Will a current or former world leader shit themselves in 2024?
13% chance
Will Joe Biden be photographed using a mobility aid (e.g. a cane) before 2029?
72% chance
Will Biden or Trump die before the end of 2025?
25% chance
Will Joe Biden be regularly using a wheelchair by EOY 2027?
20% chance
Will Joe Biden and Donald Trump meet in person in year 2028?
29% chance
Will Joe Biden and Donald Trump meet in person in year 2027?
38% chance