Will either Trump or Biden require assistance to use the bathroom (2028)?
Will either Trump or Biden require assistance to use the bathroom (2028)?
9
190Ṁ148
2029
32%
chance

Fairly straightforward. Has to be required on an ongoing basis, not just during a brief hospitalization. Reputable sources yada yada. My yardstick for when someone is perhaps a little too far gone to be president.

Will keep it open a few months into 2029 to give that sweet post-presidency inside dig time to come out, but will resolve No if nothing is out yet. Has to have happened on or before December 31, 2028.

  • Update 2025-12-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Reputable sources: Context and tone will matter. Major publications lending credence to a rumor could qualify.

    • Unconfirmed rumors: Likely do not count unless supported by major, reputable publications.

    • Deadline extension: The deadline may be extended if initial reporting suggests that a major, reputable publication will confirm or lend credence to a rumor.

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