Will either Trump or Biden require assistance to use the bathroom (2028)?
8
52
แน139แน190
2029
29%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Fairly straightforward. Has to be required on an ongoing basis, not just during a brief hospitalization. Reputable sources yada yada. My yardstick for when someone is perhaps a little too far gone to be president.
Will keep it open a few months into 2029 to give that sweet post-presidency inside dig time to come out, but will resolve No if nothing is out yet. Has to have happened on or before December 31, 2028.
Get แน600 play money
Related questions
Will either Joe Biden or Donald Trump be elected President in 2024?
95% chance
Will Trump and Biden debate in August 2024?
25% chance
Will both Donald Trump and Joe Biden be alive on January 20, 2029?
65% chance
Will Donald Trump or Joe Biden die before Jan 2028?
46% chance
Will Trump outlive Biden?
61% chance
Will both Donald Trump and Joe Biden be alive on January 1st 2029?
45% chance
Will Trump outlive Biden? (natural causes)
57% chance
Will Joe Biden and Donald Trump meet face to face during 2024?
69% chance
Will Joe Biden be President in 2028?
35% chance
Conditional on Biden being elected president in 2024, will a Democrat also be elected in 2028?
50% chance