How serious will Cuomo’s general election run be?
11
1.3kṀ568Nov 4
87%
Cuomo appears on ballot
62%
Cuomo announces an official bid
50%
Cuomo and allies spend >$25M
50%
Cuomo hosts a campaign rally
50%
Cuomo attends a mayoral forum
50%
Cuomo rides the subway
47%
Cuomo visits a mosque
45%
Cuomo releases another 15+ minute campaign video
40%
Cuomo appears in a debate
39%
Cuomo eats B.E.C. (bacon optional) on camera
2025 Mayor Race. Based on if these events happen after market publication date and before or on Election Day November 4, 2025
Official bid: run as non-Democrat as per this Polymarket
>$25m: "spend at least $25 million on the campaign (including PACs)" (suggested by @cthor)
Mosque and mayoral forum ideas stolen from: https://www.nytimes.com/2025/06/27/nyregion/cuomo-mayor-campaign.html
Clarification: these will resolve independently of each other. e.g. if he takes himself off the ballot but still rides the subway, I will count that as riding the subway! (as an effort to get write-in votes?). However the campaign rally would have to be for himself, not for a potential other candidate he is endorsing.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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