Will Manifold send an updated email specifying the dates of Manifest?

16

closes Sep 24

1.6%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Amount

Ṁ0

Ṁ50

Ṁ100

Payout if YES

Ṁ499 +4898.3%

New probability

3% +0.9%

While the front page of Manifold lists the dates, the recent email titled "Last Chance: Get Tickets to Manifest 2023!" merely lists some Friday, Saturday, and Sunday as the dates. Will Manifold send an updated email blast?

Get Ṁ500 play money

## Related questions

Sort by:

Collected Over Spreadpredicts NO

Am I interpreting this too narrowly or is it way overpriced? I doubt that Manifold will send out an e-mail just to say, "Sorry, everyone, we forgot to mention the exact dates in our last newsletter." But if we allow any additional newsletter with updated information about Manifest (say, something like "Manifest is a Week Away!") that does include the dates, then I could understand the current value.

1 reply

Epsilonpredicts YES

@CollectedOverSpread I wrote it intending the latter interpretation to trigger a YES resolution.

Sort by:

0 YES payouts

Ṁ317

Ṁ123

Ṁ116

Ṁ11

Ṁ9

Ṁ9

## Related questions

Will at least 10 people report having found my new Manifold search function useful within a week?

Isaac

55% chance

Will the majority of respondents to my Manifold survey also have taken Pat's Manifold Survey?

Plasma Ballin'

75% chance

Will Manifold ever do anything to stop spammy engagement-farming questions like this one?

Robin Bruce

65% chance

Will the dwarf planet question on my Manifold survey have the same result as the original survey?

Plasma Ballin'

39% chance

Will @MarcusAbramovich honour his "going to be spending a lot less time on Manifold going forward" in September?

Hugh Hefner

22% chance

Will I only use manifold for about 5 minutes each day until October.

Justified use of Fallibilism

15% chance

Will Manifold keep the "resolution reliability" ranking system in place for at least three months?

evergreen

80% chance