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MANIFOLD
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier's voting record be interesting?
4
Ṁ100Ṁ39
Dec 31
51%
chance

Massie's voting record is interesting, as are those of a few other Republicans.

For the record, I consider AOC to be a modified limited hangout.

If Chevalier never enters Congress, this market will resolve to No.

  • Update 2026-06-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): As reference points for what the creator considers 'interesting': Ilhan Omar is ambiguous, Rashida Tlaib would likely resolve No.

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How could we possibly gauge what you find "interesting" without you providing any criteria whatsoever?

>I consider AOC to be a modified limited hangout.

What on Earth does this mean? A hang-out by whom?

How would you resolve this for Ilhan Omar, Rashida Tlaib? Thanks

@Jack1 Omar is ambiguous (to my limited knowledge), Tlaib is probably No.

What is "interesting"? Voting against the D party line more than ten percent of the time?

@CraigDemel The question is inherently qualitative, but this should be an example:

https://clerk.house.gov/Votes/202270?Title=russia