Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if Darializa Avila Chevalier wins the Democratic primary election for the U.S. House of Representatives (New York's 13th Congressional District, or any subsequent redrawn congressional district or elective office she seeks) held during the 2028 election cycle.

If she qualifies for the ballot and faces no primary challengers (or the primary is uncontested/canceled in her favor), this market resolves to YES.

This market resolves to NO if:

• She appears on the ballot in a 2028 primary election and loses.

• She does not file to run, fails to qualify for the ballot, drops out before primary day, or is disqualified prior to the primary taking place.

The primary source of resolution will be certified official election results published by the New York State Board of Elections (or the relevant state board of elections if she runs in a different jurisdiction), corroborated by major news outlets (e.g., Associated Press, The New York Times).

Background

Darializa Avila Chevalier, an organizer and Democratic Socialists of America (DSA)-backed candidate, was elected to the U.S. House of Representatives in 2026 after defeating longtime incumbent Representative Adriano Espaillat in the June 2026 Democratic primary for New York's 13th Congressional District (covering Upper Manhattan and parts of the Bronx). This market tracks her first re-election primary test in 2028.