MANIFOLD
Will any of the following: me, LaprasIRL, ersatzyork, RealLPerezLA have children within the next five years?
4
Ṁ120Ṁ110
2027
77%
chance
This market resolves to yes if any of us manage to have children in five years with any women. Miscarriages don't count.
Market context
Ancient Markets
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:
They said no.
I'm not sure (I will consult with them), but I am confident they won't affect the final result.
Do adoptions count?

People are also trading

Will I have at least one child by the end of 2035?
78% chance
Will I have children by 2035?
43% chance
Will Taylor Lorenz have kids/a family by EOY 2033?
21% chance
Will any TKS/The Knowledge Society alumni have kids by EOY 2026?
72% chance
Will any of the Atlas Fellows have a family/babies by EOY 2027?
90% chance
Will ken Mehr want kids in 5 years time?
59% chance
Will I have a child with another person or adopt one by EOY 2035?
62% chance
Will JustPearlyThings have a child by the end of 2027?
41% chance
Will Aaron Mayer (https://foresight.org/fellowship/2023-fellow-aaron-mayer/) have KIDS by EOY 2034?
61% chance
Will any of William Eden's kids have a LAN party with any of Bryan Caplan's kids by 2035?
27% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy