In the 2024 US election, will Manifold beat 538 on accuracy?

Will the largest manifold market covering the US presidential election correctly predict the outcome of the election?

🟠Who would have to be running for Manifold to vote for Donald Trump in a presidential election? #2

[Add options] Who would be so good that Manifold would vote for them over themselves in a presidential election?

🗳️Who would Manifold vote for over both Trump AND Biden in 1-on-1 presidential elections? [ADD RESPONSES]

How accurately will Manifold predict the 2024 Presidential Election?

What would have to be true about Donald Trump for manifold to vote for him

🟠Who would have to be running for Manifold to vote for Donald Trump in a presidential election? [ADD RESPONSES]

How confident will Manifold be about the presidential election on November 1st?

Who will win the Manifold 2016 presidential primary?