How many counties will Trump win in 2024?
➕
Plus
1
Ṁ150
Nov 1
15%
Between 2450 and 2500
15%
Between 2500 and 2550
15%
Between 2550 and 2600
15%
Between 2600 and 2650
15%
Between 2650 and 2700
15%
Between 2700 and 2750
9%
Between 2750 and 2800

For comparison, Trump won 2622 counties in 2016 and 2574 counties in 2020. Mitt Romney won 2420.


Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

You're double-counting (or not counting) the boundary numbers. And there's no "Other" so people have to bet treating the possibility of <2450 as 0% likely

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules