Mass shooting on Wednesday?
4
Ṁ100Ṁ126Jul 22
50%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As defined by the Gun Violence Archive, will there be a mass shooting within the USA on Wednesday the 22nd of July?
A mass shooting is defined by GVA as an incident in which 4 or more individuals are shot, fatally or non fatally. This includes shooting victims that were themselves shooters, and does not exclude gang violence.
The data will be taken from the GVA database. I will allow 12 hours after midnight for any late updates to the database before resolving.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will there be a second shooting event related to the Bondi Beach mass shooting within one year?
2% chance
Will there be a mass shooting in the US more deadly than the 2017 Las Vegas shooting before 2030?
33% chance
How many people will be killed in the next major mass shooting (20 killed) in the US?