Eric Adams no longer identifies as a Democrat by December 31, 2025
23
1kṀ2042Dec 31
69%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution Criteria
This market resolves YES if, by December 31, 2025, Eric Adams publicly declares he is no longer a Democrat, officially changes his party registration, or formally joins another political party. It resolves NO if he continues to identify as a Democrat through the end of 2025.
Background
Eric Adams is currently the Mayor of New York City and a registered Democrat. In April 2024, Adams announced he would run for reelection in 2025 as an independent candidate, bypassing the Democratic primary. Despite this decision to run as an independent, he has not formally changed his party affiliation or publicly renounced his Democratic identity as of April 2024.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Eric Adams switches party affiliation from Democrat before January 1, 2026
77% chance
Under which party will Eric Adams appear on the 2025 NYC mayoral election ballot?
Will Eric Adams resign as Mayor of New York City before his term is over?
6% chance
Will Andrew Cuomo run in a special election to replace Eric Adams?
2% chance
Will Eric Adams be re-elected mayor of New York City in 2025?
3% chance
Will Eric Adams appear on the general election ballot for the 2025 New York City Mayoral Election?
46% chance
Will Eric Adams complete his current term in office as NYC Mayor?
94% chance
Who will win the NYC mayoral special election, if Eric Adams resigns?
Which of the following people will be the Democratic nominee for New York City Mayor in 2025?
Who will be the Democratic Party nominee for New York City Comptroller in 2025?