This market resolves YES if Eric Adams publicly declares he is no longer a Democrat, switches party affiliation, or runs for office under a different party by December 31, 2025. Resolution will be based on official statements from Adams, his campaign, or official party registration records.
Resolution Criteria
Market resolves YES if any of the following occur by December 31, 2025:
Eric Adams makes an official public statement declaring he is no longer a Democrat
Official party registration records show Adams has changed his party affiliation from Democrat to any other party or no party
Adams files to run for any office under a different party affiliation
Adams formally registers as an independent or with another political party
Market resolves NO if Adams remains a registered Democrat and has not taken any of the above actions by December 31, 2025.
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I think you could make a new market, too. This clearly had met the resolution requirement (running for office not under the dem party). but i believe in the interview where he announced that he still said he saw himself as a democrat but he couldn't run under that party name or something.
so there may still be another chapter or two in this story lol
@No_uh I was thinking about it but it would become perhaps too vague a condition, it should really say “I no longer identify myself as a Democrat,” otherwise it is subject to interpretation.
Justice Dept. Is Said to Discuss Dropping Case Against Eric Adams
There's no way he's not flipping, right? https://www.nytimes.com/2025/01/29/us/politics/justice-department-trump-charges-eric-adams.html