What percentage of humans will follow Christianity in 2100?
8
100Ṁ107
2099
33%
chance

Resolves as a percentage according to the most official figure I can find. For reference, this would be 31% as of 2024. Resolves NA if human civilization ends before then.

Religion
Futurism
Long-term Markets
Christianity
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

People are also trading

Bart Ehrman Will Convert to Esoteric/Gnostic Christianity before 2030?
22% chance
What percentage of humans will follow Islam in 2100?
41% chance
Which religion will have the most human followers by 2100?
Will the percentage of U.S. adults identifying as Christian in the U.S. drop below 60% by the end of 2026?
57% chance
Will at least 1/3 of the world be one religion by the end of 2034?
37% chance
What will be the human population in 2100 ?
Will the percentage of the global population that is religiously unaffiliated increase from 16.4% by 2026?
75% chance
Will 10% or more of Americans identify as atheist by 2040?
84% chance
Religious Composition of the Planet in 2030
Which world religion will be the most viewed on Wikipedia in 2025?
Sort by:

What if human civilization ends because the Christian apocalypse happens?

@TiredCliche Resolves NA.

@Elspeth That seems premature.

@TiredCliche I don't want any ambiguity about whether any apocalypse is specifically the christian apocalypse.

@Elspeth If human civilization ends because all humanity rises and is judged by Jesus Christ before 2100, this market should probably resolve to 100%, is all I am saying.

@TiredCliche This to me doesn't look like civilization ending.

@Elspeth perhaps now

“Resolves NA if human civilization ends before then.”

People are also trading

Bart Ehrman Will Convert to Esoteric/Gnostic Christianity before 2030?
-9% 1d22% chance
What percentage of humans will follow Islam in 2100?
41% chance
Which religion will have the most human followers by 2100?
Will the percentage of U.S. adults identifying as Christian in the U.S. drop below 60% by the end of 2026?
57% chance
Will at least 1/3 of the world be one religion by the end of 2034?
37% chance
What will be the human population in 2100 ?
Will the percentage of the global population that is religiously unaffiliated increase from 16.4% by 2026?
75% chance
Will 10% or more of Americans identify as atheist by 2040?
84% chance
Religious Composition of the Planet in 2030
Which world religion will be the most viewed on Wikipedia in 2025?
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy