MANIFOLD
Primary motivation determined for New Orleans New Year's attack by March 31st, 2025
15
Ṁ1kṀ2.5k
resolved Apr 1
100%84%
Islamic extremism
4%
Domestic political extremism
3%
Personal grievance/mental illness
4%
No clear single motivation determined
5%
Investigation still ongoing

Market resolves based on official determination of the primary motivation behind the January 1st, 2025 vehicle attack in New Orleans that killed 10 people. Resolution based on statements from FBI, DOJ, or other lead investigating agencies.

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