Given an uptick in IVF, how will Progyny ($PGNY) perform relative to Nasdaq as a whole

MANIFOLD

Ṁ15kṀ4.3k

2030

1.8 multiplier

expected

ALL

Below 0.2x

13%

0.2- 0.49x

24%

0.50 - 0.79x

16%

.8- .99x

20%

1 - 1.49x

1.5 - 1.99x

2.0x - 4.99x

5.0x - 9.99x

above 10x

Uptick is operationalized as SART's national summary showing at least 550,000 ART cycles in 2028. Their preliminary numbers should be available in April 2030. The market will resolve as N/A if there are <550k ART cycles (but there will be a sister market for that reality).

The answer is the (relative growth in PGNY from today to 5/1/28)/(relative growth in Nasdaq)

Tech Stocks

NASDAQ

Get

1,000

to start trading!

Sort by:

Do you mean the percent chance in (PGNY / Nasdaq) or (percent change in PGNY / percent change in Nasdaq)? Because the latter could be negative if, say, pgny returned -10% and Nasdaq returned +10%

@spiderduckpig
(PGNY!2028/PGNY!2026)/(Nasdaq!2028/Nasdaq!2026)

Related questions