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MANIFOLD
Will Team Bardiani start the 2027 Giro d'Italia?
8
Ṁ1kṀ2.6k
2027
26%
chance

Resolves Yes if the team structure known in 2026 as Bardiani CSF 7 Saber starts the 2027 Giro d'Italia.

Resolves No if they do not start the race.

No early resolutions, the market will not resolve until the first stage of the 2027 Giro d'Italia is underway. If the Giro d'Italia does not happen in 2027, resolves No at the conclusion of the 2027 UCI season.

If the team changes name, has a merger, split, or some other structure change, ask me for clarification if you are unsure how to bet. In general, if the same structure and riders are together in 2027, they will count as "Bardiani" for the purposes of this question.

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bought Ṁ500 NO

I don’t think the UCI is going to care to bend over backwards for Bardiani when they can just invite Polti and Solution Tech (maybe MBH if they need to, that’s basically an Italian team) without thinking too hard. Solution tech didn’t get to ride the Giro after they missed the top 30.

@RedzoneITG BUT RCS LOVES BARDIANI

@Eliza RCS can kick rocks I think

This market should sit at 80%.

@Lion ....I kind of agree, this seems like out of all the bubble teams, the one that would find some way to make it happen anyway. But....idk.

At this point Bardiani is roughly 100 points out of 30th place, in 31st place. And there are not many chances left.

I feel like this is likely to go into some kind of dispute regime, though.

bought Ṁ250 YES

Market has too much subsidy

@Lion I'll add more if you're not careful

@Eliza I don't mind, I just won't by it up to the percentage I think it should be. But that's true at the moment as well.