Who will win the 2025 Tour de France General Classification (Yellow Jersey)?
➕
Plus
27
Ṁ9065
2025
57%
Tadej Pogacar
30%
Jonas Vingegaard
5%
Remco Evenepoel
2%
Primoz Roglic
1.8%
Other
1.1%
Richard Carapaz

The list of recent winners:

2024: TBD
2023: Jonas Vingegaard
2022: Jonas Vingegaard
2021: Tadej Pogacar
2020: Tadej Pogacar
2019: Egan Bernal
2018: Geraint Thomas

I will add more information to this later when we know more about the race. There is definitely enough known about the potential competitors to start a market now, though.

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Ṁ1,000
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More important news: the official route is out https://www.cyclingweekly.com/news/tour-de-france-route-all-you-need-to-know

Other than an ITT on stage 5, it looks like nothing will be decided until the end of the second week. Then things get crazy, Thursday Hautacam, Friday totally uphill ITT, Saturday almost 5K of climbing ending on Superbagnères (12.4km at 7.5%). I think by then we should almost know who will win.

I made a simple Yes/No market for Pogi winning to try to get it to sweepstakes

BTW the market above is now on sweepstakes (redeemable for cash)

sold Ṁ5 YES

Updating a little bit down on Jonas, since there are rumors going around (https://www.cyclingnews.com/news/jonas-vingegaard-to-ride-the-2025-giro-ditalia-definitely-maybe/) that he will go to the Giro. I assume that Pogi will like Tour/Vuelta next year, so would be more rested for the Tour.

Also time to start discussion for Giro too:

sold Ṁ111 YES

I thought this was 2024 because it resolves July :(

@Eliza I imagine you're intention is for July next year, right?

Fixed

opened a Ṁ1,000 YES at 20% order

Limit order 20% Vingegaard YES M$1k 🙃

opened a Ṁ1,000 YES at 10% order

Some people were asking me about the 2025 odds so I made this market today!

bought Ṁ30 YES

I was about to ask you to make it

Are you going to create the Olympia and WC markets soon? I'd do it if you don't want to host them, but it's about time (Especially the ITTs 🧡)

I already know who wins the ITTs so it isn't as fun to make a market. (Chloe and Ganna)

I'll create them, I'll even put a limit order on 99% NO on Ganna for you 🧡

Lion made markets for ITT both men and women, I made the ones for road races

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