MANIFOLD
Which riders will wear the yellow jersey at the 2025 Tour de France?
57
Ṁ10kṀ120k
resolved Jul 27
Resolved
YES
Mathieu van der Poel
Resolved
YES
Tadej Pogacar
Resolved
YES
Jasper Philipsen
Resolved
NO
Tim Merlier
Resolved
NO
Wout van Aert
Resolved
NO
Jonas Vingegaard
Resolved
NO
Remco Evenepoel
Resolved
NO
Jonathan Milan
Resolved
NO
Joao Almeida
Resolved
NO
Primoz Roglic

The rider must actually 'officially' wear the jersey at some point in time, either in the award ceremony at the end of a stage or in the following stage.

In the 2024 edition, only 3 riders wore the yellow jersey.

The first week of the race could feature multiple riders getting the yellow jersey.

Because the platform does not allow me to withdraw liquidity on this question type, I reserve the right to close this market at any time, and I may also consult in the comment section to reopen the market.

maillot jaune TDF le tour

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Peloton Discord
Cycling
Tour de France
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Ben Healy…?

@MachiNi hmmm it doesn’t look like the peloton really wants the breakaway to increase the gap though…

@MachiNi well actually… I don’t know

@MachiNi It feels like that break will be caught, but Pollit is done..But Visma could pull too.

@Eliza what say you?

@MachiNi Little late now!

As of the end of Stage 6 Merlier is 55 mins down, and Milan is 49 mins down - so I'd like to propose that these options could be safely resolved now.

opened a Ṁ25,000 NO at 1.0% order

@JPD I made large limit orders on No at 1% so you can sell into them if you need liquidity. I'll wait to resolve until they're out of the race or the race is over.

sold Ṁ1,470 NO

@Eliza Awesome, thank you for those limit orders!

opened a Ṁ2,288 NO at 1.0% order

@Eliza Almeida is officially out of the race, so he can resolve

bought Ṁ500 NO

Which sprinter(s) will get yellow in the opening days? Will Remco take it in the early ITT? This should be fun.

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