At 2024-02-24T00:41, the cost to create most question types increased. Binary markets went from 50 mana to 100 mana and other types also increased.
I consulted a special data source (Manifold database) which told me there were 1664 public markets (of ANY type, including Polls, etc.) that did NOT resolve N/A already created between 2024-02-17T00:41 and 2024-02-24T00:41.
How many markets will be created between 2024-02-24T00:41 and 2024-03-02T00:41? I am going to use the same special data source to pull the new figures after this closes.
I am going to express these ranges as percentages compared to the prior 7 day period.
Note that the Partner Creator program is also supposed to start, which may have an influence on the number of questions created.
EDIT: Shortly after creating this, I decided to not count the 31 markets that resolved N/A from the 02-17 through 02-24 period. I will also not count any markets created between 02-24 and 03-02 that resolve N/A before this market closes. (If you try to manipulate this market by creating and N/A'ing markets, I will consider it platform abuse and report you to SirSalty!!!!)
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| # | Name | Total profit |
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| 3 | Ṁ135 |
First 5 days of prior period: 1280 markets meet the criteria
First 5 days of this period: 1070 markets meet the criteria
Up to 83%. It looks like since day 2, the rate of creation has continued to increase compared to the prior period. I wonder if this has been impacted by creators who saved their mana for a few days in preparation for the creator partner program.
@Bayesian No, I bet after posting the comment. I promise. Only 7 seconds to the first bet, but still after.
Just about hitting the 3 days out of 7 point. We're at 574 markets meeting the criteria.
In the first 72 hours of the prior 7 day period, the number of markets created meeting the criteria was 776, so we're somewhere between 73% and 78% of the previous period's rate, depending how you slice it.
The start-of-month period coming up on 1 March and the debut of the Partner Creator program (expected today) may also impact this.
After 49 hours out of 168 (29.1% through the window), it looks like the total is 411, or 24.7% of the 1664 from the prior period. When 171 more markets are created, the <=35% option will become impossible (unless people mass N/A their markets or something). It looks like that will take 1 more day if the current rate continues.