Resolves:
Yes if Sixers win
No if Heat win
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ36 | |
| 2 | Ṁ7 |
Sadly, this whole series of markets was pretty much a waste of time because we only attracted a few human participants. And I was not able to resolve the markets promptly because the games finish when I'm asleep. Still, it was worth a try. Thanks to everyone who participated.
It may have also been better as a single unlinked MC market, but I didn't do that for two reasons:
1. The amount of human traders is so low that it seems to make sense to shut off trading before the game's result is fully known. That is very difficult in unlinked MC.
2. In unlinked MC, the creator does not get a partial refund of liquidity when the market closes at 40% instead of 0%, so it would have cost me a lot extra there.
I'm sure Manifold can do better at this, but I will not repeat the exact same format next year, at the very least.
