[2024 Program] Wout van Aert - UCI Road Cycling
Basic
13
Ṁ32k
resolved Oct 13
Resolved
NO
UAE Tour
Resolved
YES
Clasica Jaén
Resolved
YES
Volta ao Algarve
Resolved
YES
Omloop Het Nieuwsblad
Resolved
YES
Kuurne-Brussel-Kuurne
Resolved
NO
Strade Bianche
Resolved
NO
Paris - Nice
Resolved
NO
Tirreno - Adriatico
Resolved
NO
Milano - Sanremo
Resolved
NO
Volta Catalunya
Resolved
YES
E3 Saxo Classic
Resolved
NO
Gent - Wevelgem
Resolved
YES
Dwars door Vlaanderen
Resolved
NO
Ronde van Vlaanderen
Resolved
NO
Basque Country
Resolved
NO
Paris - Roubaix
Resolved
NO
Amstel Gold Race
Resolved
NO
Liege - Bastogne - Liege
Resolved
NO
La Fleche Wallonne
Resolved
NO
Tour de Romandie

Each listed race that Wout van Aert starts in the 2024 season resolves Yes.

Each race that he does not start resolves No.

For stage races, only the first stage matters.

If the listed race does not happen, that answer resolves N/A because I want you to predict if he starts, not if the race goes under.

I've listed a WT-centric list of races that he has either started at in the past or seems to have some chance of starting at some point in his career. We can add more, but I'm not that interested in .1 or .Pro races -- his season should focus on a WT calendar and those are the important questions. Knowing if he starts an Italian .Pro before Lombardia is not quite as interesting as whether he will contest the big one.

Related:

/Eliza/2024-racedays-wout-van-aert-uci-roa

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:
bought Ṁ40 YES

https://www.hln.be/wielrennen/van-aert-mikt-op-comeback-eind-mei-in-noorwegen~a323ae61/

Wout will go to Tour of Norway and possibly TDF. This article also says Jonas to the TDF is still uncertain.

He would go to the TDF for stage hunting purposes and not to ride as a grind-to-the-death domestique, so he can be ready for the Olympics.

@Eliza that doesn't sound good for Jonas' prospects...

bought Ṁ35 YES

@Lion He can do it next year.

@Eliza he can do it 2027.

bought Ṁ10 NO

@egroj I put a nibble of Yes on Dauphine and Suisse -- those two plus the Giro currently add up to 91% which feels a little bit high, but it seems like he would possibly want to race SOMETHING before the Olympics.

sold Ṁ1 YES

@Eliza looks bad for Giro, perhaps TdF

bought Ṁ3 YES

@egroj PCS has him out of Giro:

One of the rare cases I wish there had been a market open for the race for live betting -- to see what the odds looked like on him over the last 90 minutes or whatever. What do we think, would it have been 90% the whole time? More?

Sadly there's no straightforward way to reorder all these into season order. I did put the WT ones in order but we'll just have to live with the new additions at the bottom 😂 The only other option would be to put like 001, 002, 003, at the start of each to do alphabetical sorting but that seems silly too.

JAAMboughtṀ100 NO

@egroj SAD TO HEAR THAT. 😭

@Eliza he said he has to focus on Roubaix, what I don't understand is how Giron fits in with that

@egroj Giro*

@egroj @Eliza For real or is that just some Wout-won't-start-the-Giro-doubting, because you guys can't predict the Italian spirit?

@Lion the opposite, I think that the plan is still to do Giro. What he recently said is that he will be focusing on Flanders and Roubaix: https://velo.outsideonline.com/road/road-racing/wout-van-aert-rolls-dice-in-all-or-nothing-cobblestone-quest-i-want-to-get-out-of-my-comfort-zone/
I think that the Giro distracts him from those goals

@egroj Let's be real, he won't win Flanders anyways. If he wasn't from there, he wouldn't even consider this race. But MSR really fits him.

This is really hard to predict without Roglic in the team and Laporte stepping up.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules