Will SOTA on MATH in Sep 2024 utilize a hard-coded search/amplification procedure?
18
1kṀ4362
resolved Oct 1
Resolved
NO

Jeremy Gillen has bet Eli Lifland (myself) that (no-calculator) SOTA on MATH as of Sep 30, 2024 will utilize a hard-coded search/amplification procedure like MCTS. The bet is at 150:200 odds in Jeremy's favor: Eli will pay Jeremy $200 if this market resolves yes, otherwise Jeremy will pay Eli $150.

For current SOTA, see Minerva.

We've agreed on how a few boundary cases would resolve, and any disagreements about boundary cases will be judged by Thomas Larsen. We're reluctant to share the details of boundary cases publicly due to capability speedup concerns, and generally encourage commenters to be careful about infohazards.

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