Will I reach a 50 day streak on Manifold?
19
478
แน€370
resolved Jul 16
Resolved
YES

Resolves yes if I hit a 50 day streak (currently defined as betting once per day).

Resolves n/a if existential reasons (act of god, death, ban from Manifold) prevent me from completing the streak.

Resolves no if I fail to maintain my streak for 50 days because I didn't continue by my choice or negligence.

Note: I intend to bet (only "yes") on myself. I will not bet "no" or attempt to throw the market in any way.

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predicted YES

Hit the 50 day streak today, did not use any free skip days. Resolving yes.

bought แน€20 of YES

You can do it!

predicted YES

Day 41! A bike accident almost interrupted but Iโ€™m still here. Get your yes bets now!

predicted YES

Day 31 ๐Ÿ’ช

Shameless plug if you like F1:

bought แน€50 of YES

Seeding with a 50 mana bet on myself. Currently at streak day 24.

@EdwardOrsi What about forgiveness points (link to a comment) ? Since you didn't miss a day in June, that means you can miss a day, and your streak won't be broken, but retained - neither decrease nor increase. If you do not miss a day throughout June, once it's July, you'll have 2 forgiveness points - missing 2 days while retaining your streak.

You said 'streak (currently defined as betting once per day)'. Manifold streak has forgiveness points - you do not have to make a trade every single day - just every minus one day.

predicted YES

@XComhghall I was unaware of โ€œforgiveness pointsโ€ and Iโ€™m unsure how many I may have had going into this. I still plan to resolve based on the public profile streak indicator (and bet on at least one market per day).

@EdwardOrsi I am fairly confident that you have 1 forgiveness from June. The one in May must have been spent already, when your streak was reset to 0. This hyperlinked comment shows how to check your forgiveness points.

predicted YES

@XComhghall Thanks! I can confirm I have one โ€œforgivenessโ€ point.