What number streak will I get to on Manifold?
Manifold•Personal Goals
7
73
Ṁ805
2028
85%
500
84%
600
84%
700
84%
731 (two years)
84%
800
83%
900
82%
1000
74%
1096 (three years)
Resolved
YES
450

I got to a 400 day streak today. How long will I keep it going? Each option in this market resolves YES when I pass that number. If I break my streak, all options that have not already resolved YES, resolve NO. (If I break my streak tomorrow, start again from zero, and get up to 500, that's still a NO. It has to be this "attempt".)

https://manifold.markets/Fion/will-i-get-to-a-400-day-streak?r=Rmlvbg

If Manifold stops doing streaks, all options that have not already resolved will resolve NA. If they remove streaks from the UI but they're still accessible from the API, I'll keep going.

I will bet in this market, but I will not take a NO position at any point.

Get Ṁ200 play money
3 Comments
7 Holders
127 Trades
Sort by:
bought Ṁ11,700 450 YES

bought Ṁ500 450 YES

20 days to the 450 mark. Good odds for anybody betting against right now!

bought Ṁ0 of 450 YES

I'll be travelling for around 40 days from around the 460 day mark to the 500 day mark. I expect I'll mostly have access to Manifold, and besides, streak forgiveness is a thing (unless they've discontinued it), but that's why I'm a little bit less sure of making it to 500 days.

Related in Manifold

See more Manifold questions

Related in Personal Goals

See more Personal Goals questions

More related questions