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MANIFOLD
Will Pete Hegseth be fired before 10 May, 2026?
7
Ṁ100Ṁ91
May 9
25%
chance

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if Pete Hegseth is officially terminated, resigns, or is otherwise removed from his position as Secretary of Defense on or before May 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The market resolves to NO if he remains in his position through May 10, 2026.

Official announcements from the White House, the Department of Defense, or verified reports from major credible news outlets (e.g., AP, Reuters, The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal) will serve as the source of truth for resolution. If the position is vacant due to resignation or termination, this will be considered a "YES" outcome.

Market context
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