Will Trump be regarded as a fascist by most mainstream scholars in 2050?
18
100Ṁ11102050
64%
chance
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Resolution criteria:
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by December 31, 2050, a consensus among mainstream scholars in political science, history, or related fields regards Donald Trump as a fascist. This consensus must be evident through:
Multiple peer-reviewed academic publications explicitly characterizing Trump as a fascist.
Official statements or position papers from recognized scholarly associations (e.g., the American Political Science Association) affirming this characterization.
Inclusion of Trump in academic textbooks or encyclopedias as a primary example of fascism.
If such a consensus is not established by the specified date, the market will resolve to "No."
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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